The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is introducing ‘programmability’ to the e-Rupee! And in today’s Finshots, we have to talk about it.
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A year ago, the RBI decided to do something that few other central banks had done before — launch a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). Think of this simply as an online version of our physical currency. It’s a digital banknote.
See, normally, the RBI would have to print notes and then hand them over to the banks to circulate them into the system. It could be cumbersome. But with a CBDC, the RBI can simply ask people to open digital wallets and issue new digital notes to them directly. It can be a direct infusion of cash*.
And they gave it a name — the e-Rupee.
Anyway, they ran a pilot project for a year. Just to test the waters and see if people were amenable to using this sort of digital cash. And while we wouldn’t call it a resounding success, we guess it was enough for the RBI to say, “Alright, it’s time to take it to the next level.”
And guess what they have in mind now?
A programmable e-Rupee!
Wait…what does that mean, you ask?
Well, the simplest way to put it is that we need all kinds of tech to be able to issue and manage this digital money — think fancy blockchain-level tech. Now you can use this tech and set up a smart contract that’s built into this cash that says, “This digital cash can only be used for xyz reason.”
It gives a specific purpose to the digital money. That’s programmability.
And you could programme it for a whole host of use cases.
For instance, if you’re thinking of extending cash to farmers so they could buy fertilisers, then you could technically programme the e-Rupee in such a way that it could only be used to buy fertilisers and nothing else.
Or you might think the rural economy is flatlining. That’s what most FMCG companies have been crying about today. And since consumption is one of the biggest drivers for India’s growth, you might worry. So you’ll send some digital rupees to the rural folks. And include a rule that allows them to spend it only in a supermarket to buy foodstuff.
Heck, you could even set an expiration date for the money. You could transfer money to people’s accounts and tell them that if they don’t spend it within 30 days, it’ll be worthless. And no one likes to waste free money, right? They’ll be forced to spend it and maybe that can give a boost to the economy.
Now, you could argue that you don’t need an e-Rupee to do this in reality.
And you’d be right. For instance, back in the 1930s, many parts of the world were affected by a massive economic slowdown. And some economists proposed a crazy idea — physical cash would be affixed with a special stamp. But the stamp meant that the holder of the cash would have to bear a periodic fee. So people tried to spend this cash and get it out of their hands as soon as possible. And because money changed hands quickly and created demand, the Austrian economy soon started prospering again.
But doing this exercise with physical notes can be an expensive proposition. There are going to be added costs for the ‘limited edition’ stamps or physical currencies. But in its digital format, it becomes that much easier to implement.
And if you think about it, it’s a dream scenario for a central bank. They can adjust their monetary policy more easily.
Right now, they have to tweak interest rates if they want to control money. The thinking is that when interest rates are cut, it becomes easier for people to borrow money and spend. But then, the RBI has to wait for banks to actually transmit these rates to customers. And banks can often take their own sweet time. This doesn’t help monetary policy at all.
So the problem here is that the RBI can control the price of money (interest rates) but they can’t control the velocity of money.
But with a CBDC, that changes. By setting specific use cases and a timer for the money, they can control the velocity of spending too.
Quite crazy, huh?
Now you might have a question — Doesn’t this violate the principle of fungibility of money?
See, fungibility means that all money is the same. With ₹100, you can buy a packet of cookies on Swiggy. Or you can buy five bottles of water from your kirana store. You’re free to use it as you please and whenever you want to.
But if you set rules saying that the ₹100 can only be used to buy bread, it loses that feature, no? It’s not fungible anymore. And if you add more rules saying that the money will self-destruct in 30 days, then fungibility is dead and buried.
But looks like the RBI doesn’t necessarily agree with that. When Deputy Governor T Rabi Shankar was asked about it, he launched into an example which we have edited for clarity.
“Let’s say a school has given money to a student who won a prize to buy books in a particular bookshop. So the student can only use this money for that purpose.
But as soon as the book is purchased and the currency goes to the bookshop owner, it becomes fungible again.
So it’s only for that period the fungibility of money becomes limited.
If the student chooses not to spend the money, it goes back to the school and it becomes fungible again.
So programmability does not militate against fungibility but rather, just puts it on hold.”
That seems like an unambiguous lens through which to view the matter, don’t you think? Once the purpose is met, the money is set free. The fungibility ceases to exist only for a brief period. So we can’t quite complain about that.
So yeah, it does seem to be a game-changer, no?
But as always, we do have to point out a pitfall with the programmability of a CBDC too.
We won’t talk about the privacy nightmare where the government will be able to track your every move. We’re talking about programmability in this story so let’s just focus on the problem it could face.
See, programmability is akin to the central bank or the government telling you what you can or cannot spend your money on. They control you and your actions. By setting an expiration date, they could coerce you into spending even if you don’t want to.
For instance, when the world locked down during the pandemic, the US government doled out cash to people. Just to help them tide over the bad times. Now some people used the money to pay rent or buy groceries. But others saved some of the money too. And they used it to invest in the stock markets. When stocks zoomed higher, they made even more money. They were a happy bunch.
But imagine if the government had handed out programmed digital dollars instead. And set a condition that it could only be used at the supermarket. That wouldn’t have appealed to a lot of people, no? It could even create a trust deficit in the system.
And maybe that’s why some central banks such as the Bank of England have said that they “will not pursue government or central bank-initiated programmable functions.”
So yeah, we don’t know the exact idea the RBI has in mind right now. It’s still early stages. But we can’t wait to see how India’s central bank will programme money to dance to its tunes.
*Currently, the RBI e-Rupee pilot involves setting up a digital wallet and transferring a sum of money from one's bank account.
Correction: The line 'The fungibility exists only for a brief period.' has been edited on 14th Feb to say "The fungibility ceases to exist only for a brief period."
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